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Marktanalyse

FMCG Retail Chains in Russia 2012

Reports-ID: 199048592
Herausgeber: RBC.research
Seitenumfang: 82
Sprachversion: Englisch
Veröffentlichung: 2012-10-05
Region: Russland
Lieferformat: pdf
Lieferfrist: 2 Werktage
Demo-Version: Download
Preis: 1.250,00 €

Kurzbeschreibung

The tenth edition of the market survey “FMCG Retail Chains in Russia 2012” is dedicated to analysis of the development of Russian retail food chains in 2011-2012. The survey describes the current market situation, analyzes key mid-term trends in retail development, assesses the market volume and provides possible scenarios and forecasts for its development in 2012-2015, considering macroeconomic forecasts and trends in consumer demand.

This survey includes an analysis of changes in retail chain formats (supermarkets, hypermarkets, discounters, convenient stores) and key characteristics of Russian chains (average check, average selling space, assortment size, sales per square meter of selling area, etc). In addition, the survey analyzes current strategies employed by Russian and foreign food retailers, their advantages and disadvantages.

An analytical review of the market includes a description of basic parameters of, and trends in, Russia’s food retail sector, strategies and business models adopted by major companies, as well as development forecasts for retail chains and the market as a whole to 2015.

 

The survey was conducted using the following approaches and methods:

A questionnaire survey among retail chains

A desk study

The desk study was based on the following sources:

Data from printed and electronic media

Materials of conferences

Investment reports by banks

Financial reports of companies

 

Research was conducted from April to June, 2012. The report contains 31 tables and 39 charts and diagrams.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Abstract 

2

 

Methods

2

Table of contents 

3

List of diagrams 

4

List of tables 

6

SUMMARY 

8

Economic trends of the rf in 2011 and january-may 2012. forecast for 2013-2015 

9

 

Forecast of Russian Economic Development in 2012-2015

11

 

Development of Retail in 2011 and Expected Development in 2012-2015

15

 

 

Estimated Development of Retail in 2012-2015

17

 

 

Headline Inflation

17

Recovery of the chain food retail marKET 

20

 

Index of Consumer Confidence of the Russians

21

 

Market of High-Quality Retail Property

24

 

Development Indicators of Food Retail Market in 2011

27

 

Development Strategies of Market Leaders

34

 

Retail Format Structure of Food Retail Chains in 2011

39

 

 

Discounters

41

 

 

Supermarkets

42

 

 

Hypermarkets / cash & carry

44

 

 

Corner stores

45

 

Key Features of Russian Chains

48

 

 

General Characteristics (average sales area, number of personnel and traffic of chain stores)

48

 

 

Range of Food and Non-Food Products

50

 

 

Private Label Goods

51

 

 

Retail Chain Performance Indicators

53

 

M&A Deals in Food Retail Segment

55

 

Mid-Term Industry Development Forecast

57

 

 

Key tendencies of Retail Development in Russia in 2012-2015

57

 

 

Format Development Forecast for 2012-2015

62

 

Regional Development of Retail Chains

65

 

 

Macroeconomic Indicators

65

 

 

Central Federal District

72

 

 

North-Western Federal District

73

 

 

Urals Federal District

74

 

 

Siberian Federal District

76

 

 

Volga Federal District

77

 

 

Southern Federal District

78

   
   

Tabellenliste

Table 1. Key Development Indicators of the Russian Economy, 2009-2011, % from the Same Period of the Previous Year 8
Table 2. Average Annual Rates of Major Currencies, 2006-2011, Forecast for 2012-2015 11
Table 3. Key Macroeconomic Indicators (version 2) (2008 - 100%) 12
Table 4. Structure of Consumer Prices Growth in 2010-2011, Forecast for 2012-2015 17
Table 5. Consumer Confidence Index in Russia and the EU States, November 2011 - February 2012 20
Table 6. Supply of Retail Spaces in Q1 2012 and Forecast until Late 2014 23
Table 7. Revenue Growth Rates of Top 10 FMCG Chains in 2010-2011 26
Table 8. Share of Local Manufacturers' Goods in Product Ranges of Some Retail Chains, % 36
Table 9.Average Sales Area, Distribution by Formats, sq m, 2010-2011 47
Table 10. Personnel per Store, Distribution by Formats, people, 2010-2011 48
Table 11. Daily Customer Traffic per Store (Number of Cash Receipts), Distribution by Formats, people, 2010-2011 49
Table 12. Total Product Line, SKU, 2011-2012 49
Table 13. Range of Food Products, SKU, 2011-2012 49
Table 14. Range of Non-Food Products, SKU, 2011-2012 50
Table 15. Ratio between Food and Non-Food Products in Product Line, Format Average, %, 2011-2012 50
Table 16. Companies with Leading Share of Private Label Goods in Chain Turnover, %, 2011 51
Table 17. Average Purchase Size in Different Formats, rub., 2010-2011 52
Table 18. Annual Turnover per Square Meter of Retail Space, rub., 2010-2011 53
Table 19. Comparison of Average Retail Space and Average Turnover per Square Meter, Distribution by Formats, 2010-2011 53
Table 20. Average Distribution Margin - Distribution by Formats, %, April 2012 54
Table 21. Availability of Warehouse Spaces in Key Distribution Centers, thousands sq m, early 2012 60
Table 22. RF Retail Turnover by Districts, %, 2006-2011 65
Table 23. Largest RF cities by Population and Retail Turnover per Capita in 2011 66
Table 24. Comparison of Largest Russian Regions by Retail Turnover and Chain Retail Penetration Level, 2011 69
Table 25. Structure of Chain Food Retail of the Central Federal District - Distribution by Store Quantity, 2011 - 2012 71
Table 26.Structure of Chain Food Retail of North-Western Federal District - Distribution by Store Quantity, 2011 - 2012 73
Table 27. Structure of Chain Food Retail of Urals Federal District - Distribution by Store Quantity, 2011 - 2012 74
Table 28. Structure of Chain Food Retail of Siberian Federal District - Distribution by Store Quantity, 2011 - 2012 75
Table 29.Structure of Chain Food Retail of Volga Federal District - Distribution by Store Quantity, 2011 - 2012 76
Table 30.Structure of Chain Food Retail of Southern Federal District - Distribution by Store Quantity, 2011 - 2012 78
Table 31. Population's Supply of Chain Stores - Distribution by Regions and Store Formats (in Early 2012) 79
   
   

Diagrammliste

Figure 1. Nominal GDP of Russia, bln rub., 2006-2011, Forecast for 2012-2015 12
Figure 2. Comparison of Real Growth Rates of Key Indicators, %, 2003-2011, Forecast for 2012-2015 14
Figure 3. Russia’s nominal GDP in billion rubles, 2004-2012, and forecast for 2011-2014 15
Figure 4. Nominal retail sales volume in Russia, billion rubles, Forecast for 2012-2015 17
Figure 5. Russian Food Retail Development Stages 20
Figure 6. Contribution of Retail Sector to Russian GDP, %, 2004-2011, Forecast for 2012-2015 21
Figure 7. Consumer Confidence Index by Age Groups of Population in Q4 2011 and Q1 2012 22
Figure 8. Areas of Shopping Centers - Distribution over Russia in Early Q2 2012 and by Late 2014 25
Figure 9. Area of Retail Spaces per 1,000 People in Largest Russian Cities, 2012 26
Figure 10. LFL Revenues Growth Rates (RUB.) of Some Retail Chains, %, 2007-2011 28
Figure 11. Growth in the share of retail food chains in total food retail turnover in Russia (USD), 2004-2011 29
Figure 12. Food Retail Consolidation Level in Russia - the share of TOP 10 Companies, 2006-2011 30
Figure 13. Retailers' Revenue Growth Rates (Rub.) - Distribution by Chain Types, %, 2005-2011 31
Figure 14.Revenue Structure of Chain Food Retail - Distribution by Chain Types, %, 2004-2011 32
Figure 15. Largest Players of Food Retail Market (Share of Leading Chains in Aggregate Turnover of Organized Food Retail), 2011 33
Figure 16. Percentage of Present-Day Chain Food Retail in Aggregate Retail Turnover in Russia, 2004-2011 34
Figure 17.Prices for Basic Food Products, %, 2010-2011 36
Figure 18. Store Quantity Growth by Top 10 Retail Chains*, %, 2005-2011 39
Figure 19. Structure of Food Retail Turnover by Retail Chain Formats, 2004-2011 40
Figure 20. Quantitative Structure of Russian Chain Retail in Provinces under Survey - Distribution by Outlet Types, as of the Beginning of Q2 2012 41
Figure 21. Key Parameters of Discounter Format, %, 2008-2011 42
Figure 22. Key Parameters of Supermarket Format, %, 2008-2011 43
Figure 23. Key Parameters of Hypermarket/ Cash & Carry Formats, %, 2008-2011 45
Figure 24. Key Parameters of Convenience Store Format, %, 2008-2011 46
Figure 25.Turnover of Basic Retail Formats in Ruble Equivalent, %, 2005-2011 47
Figure 26. Turnover of Private Label Goods of Food Chains that Operate in Russia, rub., 2004-2011, Forecast for 2012 52
Figure 27. Amount of M&A Deals in Food Retail Sector, 2004- 2011 56
Figure 28. Number of M&A Deals and Average Deal Value in Food Retail Sector, 2004-2011 57
Figure 29. Key Macroeconomic Indicators that Determine Retail Development, %, 2005-2011, Forecast for 2012-2015 58
Figure 30. Share of Retail Chains in Aggregate Turnover of Food Retail - Forecast for 2012-2015 59
Figure 31. Consolidation Level of Chain Food Retail in RF, %, Forecast for 2012-2015 60
Figure 32. Area of High-Quality Warehousing Property in Russia, 2007-2011, Forecast for 2012-2014, mln sq m 61
Figure 33. Expected Growth of High-Quality Warehousing Property Area in Moscow, Saint-Petersburg and Russian Provinces, 2012-2014, mln sq m 62
Figure 34. Structure of Food Retail Turnover by Retail Chain Formats, Forecast for 2012-2015 63
Figure 35. Development Vector of Russian Food Retail Market, 2011-2015 64
Figure 36. Retail Turnover Growth Rates by Federal Districts (in % to the respective period of the previous year, in comparable prices), 2009-2011 65
Figure 37. Retail Turnover Structure by Federal Districts, 2011 66
Figure 38. Structure of Chain Retail Turnover by Federal Districts, 2011 68
Figure 39. Chain Dominance in Russian Federal Districts, Distribution by Store Number in April 2012 69